As I write this, the Royals have carried over their pre-Game 7 success from last season and remain undefeated. Their winning attitude may have lingered on in the clubhouse but it’s not enough to get me to rethink my earlier predictions for the 2015 season — yet.
So, it’s a long road til October, but without further ado, here are my playoff predictions.
As previously noted, I look for Boston, Chicago and Seattle to take their divisions with Los Angeles Anaheim and Detroit squeaking in via the wild card.
WILD CARD: Anything can happen in one game but Detroit can outpitch the Angels
ALDS: A battle of the Sox pits grit and experience (New England style) against a better-rounded lineup (on the shores of Lake Michigan). I don’t think the Red Sox will reprise their 2012 surprise run. Pick Chicago
The M’s would have home advantage over the wild card winner. King Felix is awesome, but I like the Tigers pitching over five games. Pick Detroit.
ALCS: the previous leads us to a battle of the Central division. White Sox have home field advantage, but the tabbies have more pitching depth and a (thus far) revitalized looking Miguel Cabrera. Put Detroit into the World Series.
My predictions weren’t too much different than most other pundits (save for the Cub-loving, billy goat-hating Sporting News). Washington, St. Louis and Los Angeles win their divisions while surprisingly improved San Diego and Miami catch the wild cards.
WILD CARD: The Padres have six months for all the new components to mesh and form a cohesive team. One which should be better than the East Coasters, advance San Diego.
NLDS: The Nats should have won a ton thanks to their weak divisional rivals and would thus be home against the wild card winner. Padres improved by leaps and bounds in the off-season … but not enough to overcome Washington.
In the other series, the luxury tax champ Dodgers would host the Cardinals. The blue-and-white might not live upto their hype or talent on paper… but still top the midwesterners. Advance LA.
NLCS: No one’s surprised if the two teams generally picked as best in baseball face off against each other here. Even with his previous poor post-season record, I’d pick Kershaw over Scherzer and then Greinke over Strasburg. And between surly, spoiled young stars, Puig can alter a series single-handedly more than Harper; onto the World Series Los Angeles.
WORLD SERIES: It’s been over 25 years since fans of either team have celebrated a championship. This could be a close one and the All Star game could effect the outcome a little by deciding home advantage. But I think David Price will show up in a “Madbum”-like way and the AL’ers will finally find a way to roar, not purr lazily, in October. Congratulations DETROIT – despite not winning your division, you’re the World Series champions.
Of course, I might be wrong. I think that’s why they’ll be playing about 155 more games. It should be a fun ride!
This week has been the whole off-season in a nutshell for the Blue Jays. It’s not what they did that deserves criticism; it’s what they didn’t do. The Jays roster is undeniably a little better than it was one week ago thanks to the signings of Omar Visquel and Francisco Cordero. Unfortunately, so too is the Yankees roster and Toronto has done little to bridge the gap between the Big three of the AL East and themselves.
Cordero is unquestionably a good signing. Some might worry about his advanced age, hitting 37 this season, but might do well to look south to the Bronx where a certain closer turned 42 not long ago and shows little sign of letting up. Cordero managed to turn in 37 saves last year in Cinci and actually lower his ERA by better than a run from the previous year. He has the experience and the mental toughness to take the closer’s job and run with it (something that recently acquired Sergio Santos hasn’t proven he has yet) and in so doing gives Toronto their first real bonafide closer since B.J. Ryan at the start of his monster contract. Along with veteran Darren Oliver, repatriated Jason Frasor and Santos, it should give the Blue Jays a solid bullpen. Which is certainly going to be much called upon given the lack of depth in the starting rotation, which management has obstinately refused to address.
Similarly, bringing in Visquel is a great little move, even if it is possible that he will be the oldest player in the majors on opening day (depending on what Jamie Moyer and Tim Wakefield do). With 2841 career hits, over 1000 walks, and not only the most games played at shortstop in history but the best lifetime fielding percentage at the position, Omar seems likely to join his onetime teammate Robbie Alomar in the Hall of Fame. He can still make some smooth moves in the field, gives the team a reliable backup to Yunel Escobar and will doubtless provide a good clubhouse presence. The attitude and dedication that it took to play over 20 seasons, make 3 all-star games and play in 57 post-season games will rub off on some of the younger kids who were still in diapers when he was starting his big league career. Best of all, as Alex anthopolous pointed out, by signing him to a minor league deal for now, there is almost no risk to the club beyond air fare to and from Florida and a bit of chump change to see how he looks come March.
Which makes the Jays lack of action in that area all the more perplexing. With so many solid veteran players looking for chances and any shot at retaining a big league job this off-season, one has to wonder why Toronto has taken so few chances.
This is especially true in the area of starting pitching, a noted and admitted weakness of last years club. One can arguably forgive the team for not outbidding Texas to get Japanese sensation Yu Darvish and can debate all night about whether Gio Gonzalez was worth the package of prospects Oakland got for him (and thus if Toronto should have tried harder to obtain him), but it seems a no-brainer to think that they could have taken a chance on Vincent Padilla, signed to a minor league deal by Boston this week. While Padilla may not be destined to be an All-star, he’s only a couple of years removed from a 12-6 season, and exhibits a durability that would doubtless make him a more attractive number 4 or 5 starter than say Brett Cecil or Luis Perez. Likewise, the Energizer Bunny known as Jamie Moyer, signed to a minor league deal with Colorado this month. If Moyer says he can pitch, is anyone going to doubt him? What could having him on the mound for 26 games do to the team , and having him in the clubhouse do for the plethora of young, up and coming starters Toronto seems to stockpile? Kevin Millwood, Rich Hill, the list goes on and on of solid veteran pitchers trying to kickstart their careers by signing penny ante deals with other clubs. The types of deals people made fun of New York for this time last year when they brought in chubby Bartolo Colon and years from relevant Freddy Garcia. Two pitchers who, of course , outperformed “stars” AJ Burnett and Phil Hughes and got the pinstripers into the playoffs.
The real story this week of course was Prince Fielder. To most people’s surprise, Detroit came out of the blue to reward him with the lucrative set-for-life contract, thus ending weeks of speculation and countless false stories about the Blue Jays being serious about acquiring him. It could be argued that he isn’t worth the money he got , could be argued that he might end up being another Vernon Wells to the Jays were he to have signed on here– a player who five years down the road might be posting only ordinary numbers and earning the scorn of the fanbase. On the other hand, it could be argued that by the time his contract expires, he’ll be in the elite 600 HR club and may have helped his club to an extra two or three playoff appearances. One wonders how many more good pitches Jose Bautista would get to swing at if pitchers saw Fielder standing in the on-deck circle.
Whether or not Fielder was ideal for the Toronto roster, the fact that he went to Detroit speaks volumes. The Tigers arguably didn’t “need” him, given they already had a superstar first baseman. But they saw a temporary need -short term replacement of injured Victor martinez- and figured that you can never have too much hitting. That a huge contract is worth risking if it will bring fans through the turnstiles and ensure more post-season play for the team.
Toronto , on the other hand, saw a need and an opportunity and chose to let it pass by, crying poor despite being owned by a hugely profitable corporation, and blaming the fans for their reluctance to fully embrace a lacklustre product. Omar Visquel has the attitude of a winner. Too bad his new team lacks it.